COLUMN: Tehran Threatens to Sink a U.S. Minesweeper. Washington Withdraws Quietly

COLUMN: Tehran Threatens to Sink a U.S. Minesweeper. Washington Withdraws Quietly
Credit: Adobe Stock

Twenty percent of the world’s oil passes through this corridor, which is 33 kilometers wide at its narrowest point. Iran controls the northern shore. The United States, from its bases in Bahrain and the United Arab Emirates, controls the southern shore. But geography doesn’t lie: Iranian anti-ship missiles can strike across the entire width of the strait.

The Number That Changes Everything

Fifteen million barrels per day. That is the volume Iran threatens to suspend, according to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. Not to halt global production—but to halt its own. A partial economic suicide pitted against global economic suicide.

The asymmetric calculation

Tehran can survive twelve months without oil revenues. Western markets cannot survive twelve days of a closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

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