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BBC Analysis: A Staggering Statistical Reality

An analysis by the BBC World Service of data from the U.S. State Department has revealed a fact that is hard to ignore: the rejection rate for B1/B2 visas—the standard tourist visa recommended for soccer fans—exceeds 40% in eleven of the forty-eight countries qualifying for this World Cup. These countries are: Ecuador, Egypt, Haiti, Algeria, Uzbekistan, Cape Verde, Jordan, Iran, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Ghana, and Senegal. This data covers the period from October 2024 to the end of September 2025—even before the peak in applications related to the tournament.

For Jordan—which is competing in its first World Cup—the rejection rate reached 57% during the year studied. In Ghana, according to Canadian data, 73% of World Cup-related visa applications were rejected by Ottawa. The Moroccan fan group “Les Sbouaa” saw 40 of its 42 members denied U.S. visas—without any official explanation being provided—despite established travel histories and strong applications. The overall denial rate for B1/B2 visas across all nationalities was 34%. Eleven qualifying countries therefore far exceed this average.

The 39 countries under restrictions: a figure that speaks volumes

Beyond the refusal statistics, the Trump administration has fully or partially suspended the issuance of visitor visas for 39 countries, 19 of which face a total suspension and 20 partial restrictions. Among these 39, four nations have qualified their national teams for this World Cup: Haiti and Iran are subject to a total entry ban for their ordinary citizens, while Senegal and Côte d’Ivoire are subject to partial restrictions. In practical terms, this means that citizens of these countries cannot even apply for a standard tourist visa, making their presence in the stands virtually impossible without an individual waiver.


These figures are not collateral damage. They are policy. And when politics transforms a World Cup hosted by the United States into a geopolitical stage that excludes a quarter of the planet, one is justified in wondering whether this is not the very image of the liberal West fracturing before our very eyes.

This content was created with the help of AI.

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