A Country Divided in the Face of War
Slovakia shares a border with Ukraine—a geographical reality that makes it geopolitically significant for Kyiv. Slovak territory serves as a logistics corridor for some Western military aid flows to Ukraine, and economic and people-to-people ties between the two countries are substantial. Tens of thousands of Ukrainian refugees have found shelter in Slovakia since 2022.
But Slovak society is deeply divided over the war. A significant portion of public opinion—reflected in Fico’s reelection—expresses distrust of NATO and EU institutions, as well as sympathy for Russia’s positions. This division makes Ukrainian diplomacy in Bratislava particularly complex: Zelensky must convince not only the government but also a segment of Slovak society that support for Ukraine is in Slovakia’s national interest.
Fico’s Proposal for an EU-Russia Communication Channel
Prior to his June 19 meeting with Zelensky, Prime Minister Fico had announced his intention to propose that the EU establish a direct communication channel between Ukraine and Russia. This proposal—immediately rejected by the majority of European and Ukrainian partners as an attempt to normalize relations with Moscow—illustrates Fico’s uncomfortable position: a leader who wants to shape Ukrainian diplomacy on his own terms, not those of his allies.
Fico also stated that “ending the war in Ukraine is possible only through negotiation, not on the battlefield.” This phrasing—which partly reflects the position of many observers, including within the Trump administration—is used by Fico to justify his contacts with Moscow and his reservations about arms deliveries. For Zelensky, responding to this without compromising himself and without closing the door on dialogue with Slovakia is a highly delicate diplomatic exercise.
Fico is not Putin—it’s important to say that. He is an elected democrat who holds positions on the war that I find deeply flawed, but he remains within the framework of the EU and NATO. Treating him as an enemy would be a mistake on Kyiv’s part. Treating him as an unconditional ally would be a capitulation. Zelensky’s visit to Bratislava seeks a third way: maintaining engagement without endorsing Fico’s agenda.
The Gdańsk Conference and the Agreement on Lviv
Ukraine Recovery Conference: A Favorable Context
The Ukraine Recovery Conference in Gdańsk provided the framework in which Prime Minister Fico and Ukrainian Prime Minister Yulia Svyrydenko agreed that the next bilateral intergovernmental meeting would be held in Lviv. This choice of venue is symbolic in itself: Lviv, the cultural capital of western Ukraine and relatively safe from direct strikes, has also been the site of numerous international diplomatic conferences since 2022.
Holding this bilateral government meeting in Lviv rather than in Bratislava or a third-party capital sends a signal: Kyiv insists that its partners come to its territory, thereby affirming the relative normality of a Ukraine that continues to function as a sovereign state despite the war. Slovakia’s participation in this meeting on Ukrainian territory is, in this context, a political gesture in itself.
The Gdańsk Conference and Support for Reconstruction
The Gdańsk Conference on the Reconstruction of Ukraine—organized by Poland, which holds the EU presidency in 2025—brought together representatives from dozens of countries and international organizations to coordinate commitments to support Ukraine’s reconstruction. Fico’s presence at this conference—despite his ambivalent positions—and his agreement with Svyrydenko on bilateral consultations in Lviv demonstrate that even the most reluctant partners remain committed to the process of multilateral support for Ukraine.
This dynamic—participating in multilateral processes while expressing bilateral dissent—is the modus operandi of several EU governments, with Orbán’s Hungary representing the extreme case. Fico’s Slovakia falls within this spectrum but occupies a less extreme position: it remains within the European fold, upholds its alliance obligations, but seeks to distinguish itself by speaking with its own voice on diplomatic matters.
Poland is hosting the Conference on the Reconstruction of Ukraine in Gdańsk. Slovakia is participating. These two neighbors of Ukraine are polar opposites on Ukrainian policy—Warsaw is the spearhead of support, while Bratislava acts as a cautious brake. Yet they sit at the same table. This is the EU at its best and at its most frustrating: a diversity that prevents unanimity but maintains cohesion.
The Fico-Zelensky Meeting on June 19: What Was Discussed?
A Meeting Without Any Sensational Statements
The June 19, 2026, meeting between Fico and Zelensky yielded few substantive public statements—which is telling in itself. When two leaders meet and do not issue a joint statement or list of commitments, it is usually because their differences are too great for positive joint communication, but both sides see value in maintaining the appearance of dialogue.
Before the meeting, Fico expressed his support for the summit’s final communiqué on Ukraine—a significant gesture on his part, signaling that he does not seek to block multilateral processes. This nuanced stance—criticizing bilaterally but not sabotaging collectively—is Fico’s guiding principle in his relationship with the European framework supporting Ukraine.
Zelensky as Fico’s Interlocutor
Throughout this war, Zelensky has developed a remarkable mastery of difficult dialogues with reluctant counterparts. His ability to adapt his message—less ideological, more concrete on shared practical interests—has allowed him to maintain working relationships with partners like Fico without compromising his fundamental positions on sovereignty and territorial integrity.
When dealing with Fico, Ukraine’s most effective arguments are economic and geographic: Slovakia has a stake in its neighbor’s stability, in controlling migration flows, and in maintaining normal trade relations with Ukraine once the war is over. These concrete arguments transcend ideological differences over the nature of the conflict and provide common ground on which dialogue can continue.
Zelensky has become one of the finest diplomats of his generation—not through academic training, but out of sheer necessity. He has learned to speak to Trump, Fico, Orbán, and dozens of other leaders who have reasons not to listen to him. His political survival depends on his ability to convince people who do not naturally support him. It is a form of heroism less spectacular than that of the trenches, but just as indispensable.
The Bilateral Context: Disagreements Over Military Aid
The Issue of Slovak Arms Deliveries
Slovakia provided significant military aid to Ukraine in 2022 and 2023, including Soviet-era weapons systems such as howitzers and air defense systems. But since Fico’s reelection, these deliveries have been significantly reduced. The Fico government has officially halted direct state arms deliveries, citing the need to protect Slovak stockpiles and avoid escalating the conflict.
This stance has created tensions with NATO and EU partners, who believe that all member states have a political—if not legal—obligation to contribute to support for Ukraine. Slovakia partially circumvents this stance by allowing equipment transfers through private channels and Slovak arms companies, but the volumes are nowhere near what other comparable countries, such as the Czech Republic or the Baltic states, are providing.
The Asymmetrical Relationship and Ukraine’s Leverage
In this asymmetrical bilateral relationship—Slovakia is more important to Ukraine than the reverse is to Slovakia, geopolitically speaking—Zelensky must contend with real constraints. He cannot force Fico to deliver weapons. He cannot ignore Bratislava at the risk of fueling the sense of exclusion that feeds Slovak ambivalence. His leverage is diplomatic: the visibility offered by a Ukrainian presidential visit, the economic opportunities of reconstruction, and the constant reminder that Slovak security is linked to the Ukrainian resistance.
The prospect of a visit to Bratislava is itself one such lever: it offers Fico an international showcase—the photo with Zelensky, the media coverage of a bilateral summit—which holds domestic political value in Slovakia. In exchange, Kyiv hopes for concrete concessions on bilateral consultations, perhaps regarding humanitarian or economic aid, and at the very least, the continuation of Slovak support for Ukrainian positions within EU bodies.
This is diplomacy in its purest form: each side gives the other something in exchange for something it wants. Zelensky gives Fico a flattering photo with the president of Europe’s most admired nation. Fico gives Zelensky access to Slovakia’s European deliberations and a continuation of the dialogue. It’s not glamorous, but it’s what keeps the alliance supporting Ukraine going.
Intergovernmental Consultations in Lviv: A Framework for Dialogue
The Format of Bilateral Consultations
Bilateral intergovernmental consultations—a format in which several ministers from both governments meet simultaneously—are a mechanism for in-depth cooperation normally reserved for the closest partners. France holds such consultations with Germany, and the United Kingdom with France. The fact that Slovakia and Ukraine maintain this format despite their differences is in itself an indicator of the depth of their structural relationship, which extends beyond current political positions.
The fact that these consultations are held in Lviv—on Ukrainian territory—rather than in Bratislava or at a neutral location demonstrates Slovakia’s acceptance of the principle that Ukraine is a functioning state with which one works on its own territory. This is a symbolic commitment that partially contradicts the Russian-Slovak narrative regarding the precariousness of the Ukrainian state.
Expected Topics of the Consultations
The Lviv consultations are expected to cover several concrete issues: the situation of Ukrainian workers in Slovakia, joint infrastructure projects, trade, the management of refugee flows, and coordination on European affairs. These pragmatic topics allow the two governments to work together without directly addressing military issues on which their positions diverge.
It is possible that Slovak humanitarian aid to Ukraine—an area in which Slovakia maintains a more consensus-based approach than on arms—will be one of the main topics. Postwar reconstruction also offers concrete economic opportunities for Slovak companies that could participate in rebuilding damaged regions of Ukraine—a tangible economic argument for maintaining cordial bilateral relations.
The consultations in Lviv may be less glamorous than a NATO summit, but they are a sign of institutional resilience that I appreciate. Two countries with fundamental differences over the war are maintaining their bilateral consultation mechanisms. That is what day-to-day diplomacy is all about—not spectacular, but essential for maintaining bridges when storms pass.
The Ukrainian Presidency: The UK-Ukraine Strategic Dialogue in Parallel
The Ukraine-United Kingdom Joint Statement of June 23
In parallel with developments in Slovakia, the Ukrainian presidency issued a joint statement by the leaders of Ukraine and the United Kingdom on bilateral strategic dialogue on June 23, 2026. This document, signed by Zelensky and the British Prime Minister, illustrates Ukraine’s strategy of building stronger bilateral ties with its most committed partners, while simultaneously maintaining dialogue with more reluctant partners such as Slovakia.
This dual strategy—strengthening the most solid alliances while maintaining dialogue with ambivalent allies—is characteristic of Ukrainian diplomacy in 2026. It allows Kyiv to avoid isolation without compromising its fundamental principles. The planned visit to Bratislava is part of this framework.
Mapping European Support
Zelensky’s visit to Bratislava, if it takes place, will join a list of bilateral visits that trace the map of European support. The Baltic states, Poland, the United Kingdom, France, Germany, and the Nordic countries—all of the most committed partners have hosted or will host Zelensky. Hungary, which holds an even more antagonistic stance than Slovakia, remains outside this diplomatic circuit for now.
Including Slovakia in this diplomatic circuit—even with divergent positions—is a diplomatic victory in itself for Kyiv. It keeps Bratislava within the orbit of European engagement with Ukraine, makes it harder for Fico to adopt completely hostile positions, and preserves Slovakia as a potential partner for reconstruction.
There’s a map of Europe that I often visualize: countries that fully support, countries that partially support, and countries that abstain. This map shifts with each of Zelensky’s visits, each election, and each development on the front lines. Every bilateral visit is an attempt to maintain a country’s position or shift it toward a more favorable stance. Bratislava isn’t a sure thing—but it isn’t lost either.
Slovak Public Opinion and Its Impact on Politics
The Societal Divide Over Ukraine
Slovak polls from 2025–2026 show a population divided between sympathy for Ukraine and mistrust of military escalation. This division partly reflects generational and geographic divides—with younger generations and residents of major cities more supportive, and rural areas and older voters more wary.
Fico successfully leveraged this wariness for his 2023 election platform—and he continues to use it as a political asset. A visit by Zelensky to Bratislava could go either way: it could bolster supporters of dialogue by showing that the two countries can work together despite their differences, or it could fuel opponents by providing them with images of their prime minister aligning himself with a leader they perceive as a tool of the West.
Pro-Russian Slovak Media and Disinformation
The Slovak media landscape features a significant presence of pro-Russian media outlets and disinformation sites that amplify the Kremlin’s messages. These media outlets actively supported Fico’s campaign in 2023 and continue to influence Slovak public opinion on the war in Ukraine. Zelensky’s visit to Bratislava will be a test of the resilience of Slovak public opinion in the face of these disinformation campaigns.
A joint report by the European External Action Service and the Ukrainian Center for Countering Disinformation documented, in June 2026, more than 80 Russian information interference operations targeting Ukraine’s EU accession process—operations that specifically exploit the kind of sentiments Fico has cultivated in Slovakia to create friction in Europe’s relations with Kyiv.
Russian disinformation is more effective in Slovakia than in Poland or the Baltic states—and this is no coincidence. Moscow invests where the ground is favorable. The presence of pro-Russian media in the Slovak media landscape is a structural challenge that Fico has no political reason to combat. Zelensky’s visit is also a battle for the truth in the Slovak information space.
NATO and Slovakia: Alliance Obligations
A NATO member with collective defense obligations
Slovakia has been a member of NATO since 2004, and its obligations under the transatlantic treaty include commitments to defense spending and contributions to the alliance’s collective missions. Fico’s positions on Ukraine create a conflict with these obligations—he cannot simultaneously call for negotiations with Moscow and claim to want to maintain NATO’s cohesion.
In practice, Fico upholds Slovakia’s formal commitments to NATO while challenging the alliance’s collective policies in support of Ukraine. This uncomfortable position is tenable as long as NATO does not make a formal decision requiring specific contributions from its members regarding Ukraine—something the alliance has avoided doing to prevent painful conflicts with Hungary and Slovakia.
Slovakia’s Vote in Brussels
Beyond the issue of weapons, Slovakia’s voting record in EU institutions on matters related to Ukraine—sanctions against Russia, financial aid to Kyiv, and the accession process—is a major diplomatic challenge. A completely hostile Fico government could use its veto power to block important decisions. Maintaining a constructive dialogue is therefore a way to prevent this worst-case scenario.
Slovakia has so far voted with the EU majority on most Ukraine-related issues—sanctions against Russia were renewed with Slovak support. This continued voting cohesion is a quiet victory for Ukrainian diplomacy, and one of the goals of Zelenskyy’s visit to Bratislava is to ensure that it continues.
The EU operates on a unanimous basis on many crucial issues, and Slovakia holds a potential veto. That is why Kyiv cannot afford to treat Fico as an enemy. An enemy who votes within European institutions can cause considerable damage. A difficult partner who continues to vote with the majority is a resource that Ukraine must carefully nurture.
Ukraine's Reconstruction: The Economic Dimension for Slovakia
Economic Opportunities in Slovakia
The post-conflict reconstruction of Ukraine will be one of the largest construction projects in Europe since the post-World War II reconstruction. Cost estimates range from 500 billion to several trillion dollars, covering infrastructure, housing, industrial facilities, and services. For Slovak companies—in the construction, energy, building materials, and engineering sectors—this reconstruction represents a significant economic opportunity.
Slovakia, whose economy is closely tied to the automotive and manufacturing industries, could find a significant market in Ukraine’s reconstruction. This is not a cynical argument—it is an economic reality that Ukrainian diplomacy skillfully uses to show reluctant partners that their long-term national interest aligns with supporting Ukraine.
Slovakia’s Access to Reconstruction Markets
Companies from countries that maintain cordial bilateral relations with Ukraine will have an advantage in accessing reconstruction contracts. Poland, the United Kingdom, and Germany have already developed strong business relationships with Ukrainian institutions in this area. Slovakia, if it maintains its bilateral engagement, can aspire to a similar position.
The context of the intergovernmental consultations in Lviv will likely include this economic issue. This is an area in which Fico has a direct interest in engaging positively—the economic benefits of reconstruction are an argument that his electorate can understand without having to take a stance on contentious military issues.
The economic argument for Ukraine’s reconstruction is perhaps the most powerful way to convince partners like Fico. Ideally, support for Ukraine should be motivated by values—sovereignty, democracy, and international law. In practice, economic interest can step in where values fall short. I do not morally approve of this, but I recognize it pragmatically.
Minister Blanár and Slovak Diplomatic Communication
A Minister Playing Both Sides
Juraj Blanár’s role in this matter deserves attention. As foreign minister, he is the practical manager of a bilateral relationship whose policy direction is set by Fico. His confirmation that Zelensky wants to visit Bratislava—and that “all that remains is to set the dates”—is a classically calibrated diplomatic statement: announcing progress without committing to a timeline.
Blanár is navigating between Fico’s demands—to maintain a critical distance regarding arms deliveries—and the diplomatic realities of his position: maintaining functional relations with his European counterparts on the Ukrainian issue, avoiding isolation in multilateral forums, and preserving the channels that will allow Slovakia to play a role in the future peace negotiations that Fico hopes for.
The Blanár-Sybiha Conversation: The Functional Diplomatic Channel
The phone conversation between Blanár and Ukrainian Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha that preceded the June 25 announcement is an indication that the bilateral diplomatic channel is functioning. Sybiha, who replaced Kuleba as Ukraine’s foreign minister, has developed his own relationships with his European counterparts—including the most challenging ones.
This direct communication between foreign ministers is the foundation upon which the presidential visit rests: one does not plan a head-of-state visit to a country without first laying the diplomatic groundwork at the ministerial level. Blanár’s announcement means that this groundwork has been sufficiently laid for the visit to be politically feasible for both parties.
Sybiha and Blanár. Two foreign ministers who speak regularly despite the differences between their leaders. This is the diplomatic bureaucracy at its best: keeping channels open when politicians shut them down. This routine phone call may be the most useful development of the week in Ukraine-Slovakia relations.
The Planned Visit: Challenges and Risks
What Zelensky Stands to Gain in Bratislava
For Zelensky, a visit to Bratislava offers several potential benefits: demonstrating that Ukraine maintains a dialogue with all of its European partners—even the most challenging ones; exerting personal and direct pressure on Fico to ensure he remains aligned with European positions; and showing his own people that he is actively pursuing a 360-degree diplomatic approach.
There is also a risk: that Fico might use the visit to cast himself as a mediator or negotiator between Ukraine and Russia—a role that Zelensky cannot grant him. Managing the media narrative surrounding this visit will be crucial: it must be presented as a normal bilateral consultation, not as an attempt by Slovakia to mediate between the two warring parties.
What Fico Stands to Gain from the Visit
For Fico, hosting Zelensky in Bratislava holds both domestic and international political value. Domestically, he can demonstrate that he is maintaining dialogue with Ukraine—contradicting those who accuse him of playing into Moscow’s hands. Internationally, he positions himself as a potential mediator or at least as a voice that both sides listen to—a diplomatic stature that gives him disproportionate importance relative to Slovakia’s economic clout.
This dynamic of intersecting interests—each side has reasons to want the visit—is the foundation of a lasting diplomatic agreement. Neither Fico nor Zelensky would make this trip if the political cost outweighed the benefit. The fact that the visit is being planned means that both leaders have calculated that the benefit outweighs the cost—and that is enough to move forward.
I’m not naive about Fico’s motivations. He’ll welcome Zelensky because it’s politically useful for him, not because he’s a convert to the Ukrainian cause. But in diplomacy, motivations matter less than actions. A Fico who welcomes Zelensky and maintains Slovakia’s vote in Brussels is more useful to Ukraine than an ideologically hostile Fico who might have been pushed into Moscow’s arms.
The Slovak and Ukrainian Diasporas as Diplomatic Leverage
Ukrainians in Slovakia: A Politically Significant Presence
Since February 2022, Slovakia has taken in several hundred thousand Ukrainian refugees—a massive influx for a country of 5.5 million people. This wave of migration has transformed Slovakia’s social landscape and created internal political tensions that Fico has at times exploited in his nationalist rhetoric. But it has also forged direct human bonds between the two countries that transcend government policy: Ukrainian families in Bratislava’s neighborhoods, children in Slovak schools, and workers in factories in the Trnava region.
These human ties constitute an informal diplomatic lever that official Ukrainian diplomacy cannot ignore. Every Ukrainian refugee in Slovakia is an unwitting ambassador for their country—and a silent source of pressure on Fico, who governs a society that has been directly affected by the war. Ignoring this reality in Ukrainian diplomatic planning would be a strategic mistake.
The Role of Civil Society Networks
Beyond state diplomacy, solidarity networks between Ukrainian and Slovak civil society organizations have emerged since 2022—refugee aid associations, university partnerships, and exchanges between NGOs. These networks constitute a parallel infrastructure of bilateral relations that survives changes in government and shifts in Fico’s policies. The Ukrainian Civil Resistance has established contacts with Slovak organizations that maintain their support regardless of the official line of the Bratislava government.
This is a “two-track diplomacy” strategy that Kyiv has learned to employ in countries where governments are ambivalent: maintaining official channels while cultivating ties with civil society, opposition parties, and independent media. In Slovakia, this strategy is particularly relevant because the opposition is pro-Ukrainian and could come to power in the next elections.
There is an uncomfortable truth to Ukrainian diplomacy in Slovakia: Zelensky needs Fico today, but he may have to rely on the Slovak opposition tomorrow. Cultivating both simultaneously is a balancing act—but it is also the only coherent strategy. Not burning bridges with the current government while building relationships with those who might replace it. That is politics in its purest form.
Slovakia and Russian Gas: Energy Dependence as a Geopolitical Factor
The Legacy of Gas Transit and Its Diplomatic Constraints
Fico’s ambivalence toward Ukraine cannot be understood without addressing the issue of Slovakia’s energy dependence on Russian gas. Slovakia remains one of the EU countries most dependent on Russian gas—a historical dependence inherited from the Soviet era that the country has not been able to diversify as quickly as Poland or the Baltic states. This dependence does not excuse Fico’s rhetoric, but it does explain part of his caution regarding measures that could jeopardize supplies.
In January 2025, the expiration of the gas transit contract between Ukraine and Gazprom created new tension in bilateral relations: Fico demanded compensation from Ukraine for lost transit revenue, and Ukraine refused to act as an intermediary for Russian exports to Europe. This episode demonstrated the complexity of Ukraine-Slovakia relations—where concrete economic issues intertwine with geopolitical positions to create friction that cannot be reduced to a simple opposition between pro-Russian and pro-Ukrainian stances.
The Energy Corridor as a Key to Slovakia’s Diversification
Paradoxically, Ukraine can offer Slovakia a partial solution to its energy dependence on Russia: the corridors for transporting hydrogen and Azerbaijani gas via Ukraine, which Kyiv has promoted as a long-term alternative. This energy dimension of the bilateral relationship receives less media attention than military issues, but it could serve as a powerful catalyst for rapprochement—offering Fico a concrete economic argument to justify to his voters the maintenance of good relations with Kyiv.
The European Commission has identified the Ukraine-Slovakia energy corridor as a project of common interest for the diversification of the EU’s energy sources. If this project comes to fruition, it will create a positive economic interdependence between Bratislava and Kyiv—the kind of mutually beneficial dependence that cements alliances far more durably than political agreements.
There is much talk of arms deliveries and political solidarity with Ukraine. There is less talk of hydrogen pipelines and energy corridors—and yet, this may be where the sustainability of long-term European support is at stake. A Slovakia economically linked to Ukraine via an energy corridor is harder to lose than a Slovakia that is being begged to remain aligned. Geopolitics also plays out through gas pipelines.
Conclusion: Bratislava in Ukraine's Diplomatic Landscape
A piece of a larger geopolitical puzzle
Zelensky’s planned visit to Bratislava and the bilateral consultations in Lviv are pieces of a larger geopolitical puzzle: building and maintaining a European coalition in support of Ukraine that includes even the most ambivalent partners. This coalition is never permanently secured—it must be constantly nurtured, visit by visit, phone call by phone call, working meeting by working meeting.
Zelensky understands that this diplomatic framework is just as important as arms deliveries—perhaps even more so, as it determines the sustainability of long-term support. An alliance that includes Slovakia is more robust than one that excludes it. Even a Slovakia under Fico.
The words that matter in the end
Minister Blanár said that “all that remains is to set the dates.” These are diplomatic words—but they are words that make a difference. Behind them lie weeks of discreet negotiations, phone calls between foreign ministers, internal political deliberations in Bratislava, and Ukrainian strategic calculations on the best way to approach a difficult partner.
When this visit takes place—and it will, by all diplomatic logic—it will be a signal that Ukraine knows how to maintain its alliances over the long term, even with those who do not sing its national anthem with all their hearts. This is not the victory Ukrainians dream of. But it is the victory they need.
Ukrainian diplomacy in Slovakia will never be spectacular—and that is precisely its merit. It operates on the margins, in the nuances, in the gaps between Fico’s rhetoric and Slovakia’s actual interests. Zelenskyy will not come to Bratislava to convince a friend: he will come to keep a difficult partner within the European orbit. And in the geopolitics of this war, simply holding on is already a victory.
By Maxime Marquette, columnist
Sources
Primary sources
RBC Ukraine — Zelenskyy prepares for visit to Slovakia — June 25, 2026
Secondary sources
Euromaidan Press — After eight months, Kostiantynivka is falling — June 25, 2026
This content was created with the help of AI.