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A pattern that has repeated itself for years

The timing is no trivial detail in Zelensky’s analysis. Striking right after July 4, America’s Independence Day, and then just before a summit in Ankara where Western unity is to be publicly demonstrated, is, in his view, a deliberate calculation by the Kremlin. Just a week earlier, on July 2, a Russian attack had directly hit at least twenty residential buildings in Kyiv, killing more than thirty people and injuring more than a hundred, according to Fakti.bg.

This pattern of strikes at diplomatically sensitive moments points, for Kyiv, to a deliberate strategy of psychological pressure on its Western partners, precisely at a time when they must demonstrate their collective resolve.

A war that defies schedules

Each date chosen by Vladimir Putin to strike thus becomes, according to Zelensky’s interpretation, a message addressed directly to the West: there is no tacit truce, no respect for the international diplomatic calendar—only the cold calculation of military and media power dynamics.

This strategic interpretation strikes me as accurate, and I refuse to downplay it under the pretext of journalistic caution. A leader who systematically strikes on the eve of major diplomatic meetings is not seeking peace; he is seeking to demonstrate that he alone sets the pace of this war.

This content was created with the help of AI.

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